Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.057664 0.067321 0.078072 0.090929 0.105885 0.122735 0.143166
2025-10-12 0.043068 0.055779 0.071431 0.092111 0.118723 0.151829 0.196177
2025-10-19 0.034243 0.048023 0.066347 0.092483 0.128810 0.177549 0.247994
2025-10-26 0.028724 0.043006 0.063238 0.093963 0.139456 0.204389 0.304265
2025-11-02 0.025101 0.039766 0.061705 0.096875 0.151866 0.234647 0.368980
2025-11-09 0.020939 0.034895 0.056820 0.093712 0.154278 0.249894 0.412662
2025-11-16 0.018243 0.031836 0.054161 0.093421 0.160790 0.271844 0.469282
2025-11-23 0.015949 0.029047 0.051461 0.092518 0.165917 0.291837 0.524870
2025-11-30 0.014479 0.027440 0.050486 0.094334 0.175765 0.320744 0.599244
2025-12-07 0.012839 0.025265 0.048175 0.093359 0.180347 0.340741 0.659896
2025-12-14 0.011246 0.022937 0.045247 0.090778 0.181484 0.354394 0.710155
2025-12-21 0.009872 0.020836 0.042459 0.088047 0.181881 0.366519 0.758710
2025-12-28 0.009164 0.020007 0.042097 0.090193 0.192427 0.399985 0.854935
2026-01-04 0.008389 0.018929 0.041091 0.090881 0.200087 0.428652 0.945201
2026-01-11 0.007670 0.017865 0.039968 0.091152 0.206860 0.456247 1.036713
2026-01-18 0.007126 0.017116 0.039419 0.092592 0.216345 0.490704 1.147645
2026-01-25 0.006742 0.016678 0.039499 0.095458 0.229394 0.534499 1.285256
2026-02-01 0.005993 0.015263 0.037156 0.092341 0.228110 0.545754 1.348582
2026-02-08 0.005507 0.014424 0.036056 0.092053 0.233528 0.573132 1.453894
2026-02-15 0.005037 0.013560 0.034783 0.091164 0.237335 0.597094 1.553840
2026-02-22 0.004757 0.013149 0.034579 0.092953 0.248105 0.639278 1.705024
2026-03-01 0.004367 0.012386 0.033381 0.091993 0.251638 0.663781 1.813662
2026-03-08 0.003943 0.011473 0.031674 0.089449 0.250641 0.676559 1.892901